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Sunday Musings: Have The Fast Food Chains Hit A Wall?

A CNN opinion piece suggests that Fast Food Icon McDonald’s and other brands have hit an economic wall. That a majority of consumers can no longer afford Fast Food. That they’re abandoning Fast Food outlets in droves and cooking at home instead…

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Sad, simple truth

CNN Business Correspondent Jordan Valinsky sums up the situation in a few well-chosen words…

  • McDonald’s sales dropped in the beginning of the year, marking the second consecutive quarter of declines as customers pull back their spending amid economic uncertainty.
  • In the United States, its largest market, same-store sales dropped 3.6 percent — the chain’s worst drop since 2020 during the height of the COVID pandemic when people were told to stay home.
  • Net income for the first quarter was (US)$1.87 billion, a decline from (US)$1.93 billion compared to the same period a year ago.

A sector-wide slam

As might be expected, McDonald’s is seeing the most serious ‘pullback’ in spending from low-income consumers. Fast Food spending by the folks with the tightest budgets is down nearly double digits versus a year ago. However, unlike a few months ago, spending from middle-income consumers also, “fell nearly as much.”

McD’s experience is right in line with that of other major Fast Food brands. Other companies, such as Chipotle, [holding company] Yum! Brands, Domino’s Pizza and Starbucks, have already reported flat or negative revenues for 2024.

And all indications are the situation will only get worse. Unless some kind of dramatic, miraculous business model update is rushed into play, Trump trashes his ruinous tariffs… And/or, somehow, the income of those least-well-off in our society catches up with the rate of inflation. None of which are likely to happen.

Feedback pessimistic…

A quick survey of social media platforms indicates consumers are not sympathetic with the plight of the Fast Food giants:

There are two issues at play here. McDonald’s built their brand on being fast and inexpensive. They have not been either for several years now.”

“Is this a tough quarter, or the beginning of a larger shift in consumer preferences? […] Many people now opting for healthier choices. […] How is McDonald’s planning to adapt?”

Maybe paying $15 for a fast food meal had something to do with it. Cost-of-living increases and price hikes across everyday expenses aren’t just number[s], they’re changing how people spend, work, and live.”

We’re all getting older. We and the youngsters are [both getting] wiser. […] More at stake than dollars.”

My take

Our Q1 2025 hashtagearnings results are now live, and McDonald’s 70-year legacy of innovation, leadership, and proven agility give us confidence in our ability to navigate even the toughest of market conditions and gain market share,” McD’s Chairman and CEO Chris told shareholders. “Consumers today are grappling with uncertainty, but they can always count on McDonald’s for both exciting new menu items and delicious favorites for exceptional value, from a brand they love”

Sounds more like a political speech than a financial situation statement. Brings to mind the famous descriptive, ‘smoke and mirrors’. And Hamlet’s big soliloquy in MacBeth: “…full of sound and fury, signifying nothing.”

My questions to you:

Have you stopped visiting Fast Food joints?

If yes… Was it because of:

  • Rising menu prices?
  • Increased awareness of the perils of ultra-processed foods?
  • Part of a complex situation involving wider economic issues which are combining to change the way we ‘spend, work, and live’?
  • All of the above?

Can the Fast Food industry wiggle out of this monumental bind?

Muse on that…

~ Maggie J.